17 Aug · 13:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SV
🇨🇿Stepan Vyskocil
ELO 1564
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chvatal
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Chvatal
ELO 1590
FormWWLWL
48%
52%
🌟Chvatal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (17)
Fair odds · Chvatal
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H1-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.