17 Aug · 13:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DB
🇨🇿Daniel Branny
ELO 1555
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Branny
TL
🇨🇿Tomas Lysek
ELO 1541
FormWWLLL
51%
49%
🌟Branny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (35)
Fair odds · Branny
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.