17 Aug · 12:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1488
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Slavik
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1520
FormWLLLL
47%
53%
🌟Slavik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 18% (22)
Fair odds · Slavik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H1-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.