16 Aug · 23:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1548
FormWWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lysakowski
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1630
FormWLWLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H86-101
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)