17 Aug · 14:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1419
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Rein
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1466
FormLLWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Rein
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H28-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.