17 Aug · 14:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1543
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jr
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1569
FormWLWWW
48%
52%
🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (67)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H40-52
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.