17 Aug · 13:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1575
FormLWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Knazik
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1466
FormLLWWW
59%
41%
🌟Knazik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (108)
Fair odds · Knazik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H46-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-20)