17 Aug · 07:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1632
FormWWLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Lysakowski
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1473
FormWLWLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~80 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+159
H2H102-73
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+159)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (102-73)