17 Aug · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1540
FormLLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gola
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1468
FormLWLWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Gola
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H88-53
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (88-53)