17 Aug · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1698
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Niezgoda
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1614
FormWLLLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Niezgoda
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H28-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)