17 Aug · 17:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1698
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Niezgoda
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1606
FormWWLWW
57%
43%
🌟Vicherek covers set handicap as underdog 73% (49)
Fair odds · Niezgoda
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+92
H2H37-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-28)