17 Aug · 17:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kus
ELO 1425
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jokiel
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1439
FormWLLLL
49%
51%
🌟Kus stays under total as underdog 64% (47)
Fair odds · Jokiel
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H13-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.