17 Aug · 18:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1614
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sikora
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1612
FormLLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Sarganek stays under total as underdog 65% (57)
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H25-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.