17 Aug · 16:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1606
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sikora
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1614
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vicherek🌟Vicherek covers set handicap as underdog 73% (49)
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H10-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.