17 Aug · 19:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1513
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Cizek
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1511
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Heuman🌟Heuman covers set handicap as underdog 76% (45)
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H8-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.