17 Aug · 17:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MF
🇨🇿Martin Filipek
ELO 1468
FormLLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Moravec
PM
🇨🇿Petr Moravec
ELO 1582
FormWWWWL
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Filipek🌟Filipek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (127)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)