17 Aug · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PG
🇨🇿Pawel Gola
ELO 1547
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Gola
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1536
FormWLWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Gola
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H123-77
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.