17 Aug · 14:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TL
🇨🇿Tomas Lysek
ELO 1531
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vinansky
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Vinansky
ELO 1558
FormWLLWW
48%
52%
🌟Vinansky covers set handicap as favourite 63% (19)
Fair odds · Vinansky
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.01· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.