17 Aug · 14:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1612
FormLWWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Stepien
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1459
FormWLLLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Stepien
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+153
H2H93-46
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+153)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (93-46)