17 Aug · 19:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1510
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Arkadiusz
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1576
FormLWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Arkadiusz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H44-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (44-27)