17 Aug · 17:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Polak
ELO 1601
1-3Final setsMuska won
JM
🇨🇿Jan Muska
ELO 1580
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Polak at 54%. The actual result was Jan Muska 1-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Ondrej Polak favoured — closing 1.81
Set handicap
Ondrej Polak −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Ondrej Polak −3.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.32
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Ondrej Polak is favoured to win, below means Jan Muska.
▲ Ondrej Polakpre 51% → final 90%
Jan Muska ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsPolak recovered from 39%72 points · 4 games