17 Aug · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1497
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kos
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kos
ELO 1534
FormWLLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Kos
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 70% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H14-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.