18 Aug · 08:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Fojtik
ELO 1548
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Fojtik
TL
🇨🇿Tomas Lysek
ELO 1520
FormLLLWW
52%
48%
🌟Fojtik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (17)
Fair odds · Fojtik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.