18 Aug · 08:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1527
FormWLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vinansky
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Vinansky
ELO 1569
FormWWLLW
47%
53%
🌟Molin covers set handicap as underdog 68% (22)
Fair odds · Vinansky
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.