18 Aug · 13:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1456
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Knazik
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1584
FormWWWLL
40%
60%
🌟Knazik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (110)
Fair odds · Knazik
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+128
H2H16-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-8)