18 Aug · 13:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇨🇿Pavel Chvatal
ELO 1589
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chvatal
RV
🇨🇿Radek Vosyka
ELO 1571
FormWLWWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vosyka🌟Chvatal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (17)
Fair odds · Chvatal
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H12-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.