18 Aug · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1527
FormWLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Molin
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1466
FormWLWLL
55%
45%
🌟Molin goes over total as favourite 65% (43)
Fair odds · Molin
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)