18 Aug · 08:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1540
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Slavik
TL
🇨🇿Tomas Lysek
ELO 1520
FormLLLWW
52%
48%
🌟Slavik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (24)
Fair odds · Slavik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.