18 Aug · 13:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JO
🇨🇿Jan Osmera
ELO 1544
FormWLLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Osmera
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1422
FormLLWWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Osmera
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+122
H2H25-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-20)