18 Aug · 13:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1577
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Macurak
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1611
FormWLWWL
47%
53%
🌟Krupnik covers set handicap as underdog 65% (62)
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H12-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.