18 Aug · 10:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1640
FormLLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kocab
JV
🇨🇿Jan Vonasek
ELO 1519
FormLLLLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+121
H2H9-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-3)