18 Aug · 12:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1456
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Osmera
JO
🇨🇿Jan Osmera
ELO 1544
FormWLLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Osmera
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H31-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-14)