18 Aug · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇨🇿Jan Benak
ELO 1697
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Benak
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1640
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kocab🌟Benak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (29)
Fair odds · Benak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H14-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)