18 Aug · 13:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1541
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sedlacek
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1504
FormWLLWL
53%
47%
🌟Cizek covers set handicap as underdog 67% (67)
Fair odds · Sedlacek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.