18 Aug · 07:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Fojtik
ELO 1548
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Fojtik
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1497
FormWWWWW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Raska🌟Fojtik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (17)
Fair odds · Fojtik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H11-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.