18 Aug · 09:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Fojtik
ELO 1548
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Fojtik
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1540
FormWLWWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Slavik🌟Fojtik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (17)
Fair odds · Fojtik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H7-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.