18 Aug · 13:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Pros
ELO 1455
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Fitl
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1517
FormLLLLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)