18 Aug · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1536
FormWWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kocab
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kocab
ELO 1640
FormLLLLL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Kocab
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H35-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-18)