18 Aug · 18:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇨🇿Matej Holub
ELO 1596
FormWLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Holub
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1517
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🌟Holub stays under total as favourite 64% (22)
Fair odds · Holub
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H6-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)