18 Aug · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇨🇿Matej Holub
ELO 1596
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Holub
LV
🇨🇿Ladislav Vosyka
ELO 1510
FormLLLWW
57%
43%
🌟Holub stays under total as favourite 64% (22)
Fair odds · Holub
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)