18 Aug · 20:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1607
FormWWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vicherek
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1517
FormWLLLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zaskodny
Fair odds · Vicherek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H15-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-10)