18 Aug · 20:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1471
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Reska
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kus
ELO 1438
FormLLLWW
53%
47%
🌟Reska stays under total as favourite 65% (48)
Fair odds · Reska
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H13-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.