18 Aug · 16:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MH
🇨🇿Matej Holub
ELO 1596
FormWLWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Holub
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1375
FormLWLLL
67%
33%
🌟Pesout rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (34)
Fair odds · Holub
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+221
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+221)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)