18 Aug · 16:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RN
🇨🇿Rostislav Niezgoda
ELO 1668
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Niezgoda
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1631
FormWLWWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Niezgoda
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H28-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.