18 Aug · 17:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1375
FormLWLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Fitl
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1517
FormLLLLL
39%
61%
🌟Pesout rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (34)
Fair odds · Fitl
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+142
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)