18 Aug · 21:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AB
🇨🇿Antonin Baros
ELO 1445
FormLLWWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Sarganek
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1624
FormLWWWL
36%
64%
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~73 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+179
H2H36-23
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+179)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-23)