18 Aug · 16:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1591
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Krenek
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1548
FormWLLWL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 80% (20)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H13-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.