18 Aug · 20:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KP
🇨🇿Kamil Przeczek
ELO 1473
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Przeczek
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kus
ELO 1438
FormLLLWW
53%
47%
🌟Kus stays under total as underdog 64% (47)
Fair odds · Przeczek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H2-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.