18 Aug · 20:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇨🇿Jakub Mach
ELO 1543
FormWLWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Mach
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1375
FormLLLWW
63%
37%
🌟Mach goes over total as favourite 63% (46)
Fair odds · Mach
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~74 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+168
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+168)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)