18 Aug · 21:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Jirka
ELO 1570
FormWWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jirka
JC
🇨🇿Jean-Baptiste Cousin
ELO 1483
FormLWWWW
57%
43%
🌟Jirka stays under total as favourite 67% (21)
Fair odds · Jirka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H10-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-9)